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Rittenberg: Houston running back Makhi Hughes. A year ago, Hughes looked like one of the top non-QB transfers of the cycle, moving from Tulane to Oregon following a 1,400-yard season. But he could barely get on the field with a Ducks offense that had five players log more than 40 carries (Hughes had just 17 in six games). Ranked No. 30 in ESPN's preseason list of top 100 players, Hughes became a nonfactor in Eugene. He now reunites with Willie Fritz, his coach at Tulane, and a Houston team coming off of a 10-win season and set to contend in the Big 12.
科技史发展的一个核心规律就是，高估短期，低估长期。这是植根于人性的常见心理偏差。如果从时间线上看，另一种描述就是邓宁-克鲁格曲线。